Huey Long, radical economic populist. |
There’s been much speculation as to why President Obama did
so poorly in the first presidential debate, why he failed to fight back
against Romney. Compare Obama’s passive performance
with Joe Biden’s spirited debate assault
on poor Paul Ryan. Biden took the fight
to Ryan and, by extension, to Romney. He
was smiling, dismissive, aggressive; he clearly enjoyed the malarkey
out of himself! Obviously, Biden’s forcefulness
was deliberately meant to counteract Obama’s passivity, but it underscored that
passivity as well. So where was Obama’s
passion? Some commentators, such as Jim
Fallows, claim it is typical of incumbents to under-prepare, to be rusty
debaters, to feel themselves above such flashy political theater. Some, such as Jonathan
Chait, wonder if it was a deliberate (if overdone) tactic; i.e. “the reason
for his passivity was that he wanted to avoid appearing angry and
unpresidential.” Some blame Obama’s personal
psychology, particularly his aversion to conflict. Here’s Laurence
Tribe, Obama’s mentor at Harvard
Law School:
“Barack Obama’s instincts and talents have never included going for an
opponent’s jugular. That’s just not who he is or ever has been.” That is, Obama’s response to aggression is to
be conciliatory. He doesn’t fight back,
he reaches out. He doesn’t get angry, he gets reasonable. Biden smiles while he sticks in the shiv;
Obama quotes statistics while he extends the open hand. He really believes that facts and reason,
responsible and moderate policies, will sway his opponents. He’s not called “no
drama Obama” for nothing.
We can wonder what it is about Obama’s experiences and
upbringing that drained the drama out of him.
But here’s a better question: Why did the Democratic Party, in 2008,
pick such a passionless leader? Is there
something in the nature of the Democratic Party, or contemporary liberalism,
that invites someone so bloodless? Consider
John Kerry, Al Gore and Michael Dukakis, bloodless technocrats all. But what about Bill Clinton, didn’t he have
passion? Yes, of course, as he reminded us so powerfully
with his speech
at last month’s Democratic Convention. He
wasn’t personally bloodless, but he
was bloodless in policy. As a New
Democrat he was essentially a moderate
Republican (a creature that nowadays one can find only in the Democratic
Party). He balanced the budget and forced
welfare recipients to work, and in perfect triangulation
he protected Medicare and Medicaid from the Gingrichian onslaught. Conservative apocalyptic
paranoia to the contrary, Obama is just as
moderate as Clinton; he pushed Republican-inspired legislation on
healthcare and the environment and prosecuted a war started by
Republicans. But unlike Bill Clinton, and
like Kerry, Gore and Dukakis, Obama’s moderate personality matches his moderate
program.
And there’s the tension between liberalism and the
Democratic Party. The Democratic Party
with its (now dwindling) New Democrat faction, its funding
from Wall Street, its Congressional moderates who vote
conservative, is hardly the perfect vehicle for liberal ideology. Peel away those institutionally anti-liberal
elements and what’s left? Exactly:
what’s left? What is the soul of modern
liberalism? Now we’ve arrived at the
real question. The program of modern
liberalism has two parts: pragmatic intervention in the economy designed to
encourage widely shared prosperity, and the protection of identity groups. The first component is articulated in the
modern regulatory-welfare state; think minimum wage and Medicare. The second is articulated in social policies
like homosexual marriage and affirmative action. The first is designed to help all non-rich
Americans, i.e. the middle class and those hoping to rise into the middle
class. The second is designed to protect
particular groups – blacks, Hispanics, women, gays, the disabled, etc. – from
any oppression directed at them by the affluent, white, male power structure. For the most part, real liberal passion is
found in the second set of issues. Consider
that Democratic presidents have a pro-choice litmus test for Supreme Court
nominees, but not a pro-union one.
But it was not always so.
As insightful writers like Thomas
Frank and Michael
Lind have observed, before the 1960’s the essence of American liberalism
was government intervention serving the interests of working people. Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Lyndon
Johnson supported unions, regulation and social insurance programs, and they bent
the economy to human purpose. They were
passionate that capitalism be tamed, that the laissez-faire wilderness be plowed into the social democratic
garden. To them the American dream was
about the common people getting a new deal, a fair deal; that is, fair reward
for their hard work. They were willing
to use the tools at hand to make the country work for everyone, not just the
rich and powerful and the connected.
They were pragmatists in the service of egalitarianism. Economic justice was their passion and technocracy
was their method.
But everything changed in the 1960’s. And when I say everything I mean race. The economic liberalism of the mid-20th
century worked
quite well for white Americans, but it left a lot of people out. In the 1960’s liberal passion migrated from
making capitalism equitable to protecting oppressed minorities: first blacks,
then women, then gays, Hispanics, etc.
This happened partly because back them almost everyone assumed that
broadly shared prosperity would continue forever. But also, much of the white working class
rejected liberalism’s attempt to purge the system of bigotry, and the new breed
of liberals began to reject the white working class in return. Conservative politicians – first Goldwater
and Wallace, then Nixon and Reagan – learned to appeal to the white working
class, stoking and exploiting its resentments on issues like race, religion and
sex, making them feel like they were the truly oppressed class. Since the 60’s, all politics is identity
politics. Forget shared prosperity; what
tribe do you belong to?
Liberalism is now mostly just a coalition of the non-straight-white-male
tribes. But there isn’t much to unite
those tribes other than their shared oppression. There is no liberal movement. Meanwhile the conservatives have nurtured and
furthered a powerful, coherent and effective political and cultural
movement. And they have won most of the
elections. Since the late 1960’s and the
dominance of identity politics, white populism has moved over to the conservative
side of the aisle. It used to be working
men fighting against the bosses for decent pay and working conditions. Now it’s straight, white, Christian men
fighting against high taxes that go to fetus-killing welfare queens. The white working class had long understood
they were being exploited by a capitalist elite; they were receptive to the conservatives
notion that they were really being exploited by a statist one – even worse, claimed
conservatives, it was a statist elite that coddled non-whites at the expense of
whites. And when conservatives
transformed populism they transformed American politics. Historically, the passion in American politics
has resided in populism. The American
passion is populism; there is no real
American political passion without it. We
are always the regular people, fighting against powerful elites who ignore our
interests, dismiss our values and overlook our strengths. For most of our history that populist passion
resided on what can loosely be called the Left: Jefferson, Jackson, Lincoln, Teddy
Roosevelt, Wilson, FDR, Truman, LBJ. Since
the 1960’s populist passion is on the Right: Nixon, Reagan, and the two Bush’s.
Post-60’s liberalism is still quite pragmatic, still quite
willing to intervene as needed in the economy and society. But it has lost its passion, because it has
lost its populism; all it has left is its technocracy. This is why no one quite knows what Democrats
stand for; this is why they’re so vague and uncertain: they’re muddled about
who they’re fighting for. Obama is the
perfect expression of modern liberalism: pragmatic, moderate, urbane, prudential,
multi-racial and quite bloodless.
Compare Obama to George W. Bush, who perfectly represented modern
conservatism; he was impetuous, ideological, pious, sanctimonious, bold, and full
of the crusading righteousness and rank
foolishness that only moral certainty can confer. He knew himself to be the vessel of American
folkish purity and he acted upon that knowledge. Obama is the un-Bush. This is the real meaning behind his much-mocked
slogan from 2008: Hope and Change. The
hope was that he would make government work.
The change meant he was nothing like W.
But it also meant change
from the entire post-60’s bitter political combat. Obama thought that he could just propose practical,
reasonable, compromise solutions and his opponents would meet him half way. He thought that moderation could tame
ideology. But he never understood the
populist passion that animates his conservative adversaries, and he never
understood the power such populism bestows.
Passion beats reason every time, and the passion is still on the
right. In 1980 it was the Moral Majority
and in 2010 it was the Tea Party. The
names change but the game remains the same.
We still live in a conservative era, liberal
hopes that Obama would be the next FDR notwithstanding. At the time it seemed that 2008 might be
what’s known as a re-aligning
election; i.e. an election that changes the game for a generation or more,
an election in which large demographic groups change from one coalition to
another. In 1932 the white middle-class,
angry at Hoover’s
passive response to the Great Depression, switched to the Democratic Party,
becoming one of the main pillars of the New Deal Coalition that dominated
American politics until the 1960’s. But
Obama’s election was not re-aligning. He
simply expanded the almost-majority that Democrats have enjoyed since the days
of Michael Dukakis. Obama won all the
states that Gore and Kerry won plus a few teetering ones: Ohio,
Indiana, Virginia,
North Carolina and Colorado.
He managed that because whites are becoming a smaller and smaller part
of the population; also, of course, because George W. Bush’s disastrous
presidency had so badly damaged the Republican brand. Think of Obama as a
demographically-strengthened (and much hipper) Dukakis.
Obama has some sense
of the utility of populist
rhetoric, but his heart – I speak loosely – is not in it. Nominated and elected because he’s
Dukakis-plus, he is not temperamentally capable of full-throated populism. His instincts are vaguely egalitarian, his
temperament is conciliatory, his policies are moderate and his methods are
technocratic. Obama playing Huey Long is like Dukakis playing
George Patton: it looks forced, and more to the point, it has little chance
for a real constituency. In a democracy
all politics is grassroots and a liberal populist politician without a
grassroots liberal movement is just standing upon thin air. Liberal populist sentiment – anger over the
iniquity and brutality of unregulated capitalism – has genuine potential; it’s
waiting to be tapped. As conservatives
discovered to their delight in the 60’s and 70’s, conservative populism is really
only
a step or two away from liberal populism.
Liberals need to learn that those steps can be walked in reverse. But until that potential is realized, for Democrats
to win the presidency they must run as moderates and pray that the demographics
keep slowly moving their way. The only
thing that Democrats possess which approximates passion is multicultural
tolerance and that is, by definition, both too parochial and too uninspiring to
work nationally. Modern liberalism
simply fails to stir the American passion. That’s why Democrats fail to choose nominees
with passion. And that’s a big part of
the reason our Democratic president had no fire and no force in that debate. Liberals picked him because he has no
passion, and liberals picked someone without passion because they have so
little of it themselves.
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